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2010/11 Undergraduate Module Catalogue
HPSC2402 Philosophy of Inductive Reasoning
20 creditsClass Size: 100
Module manager: Dr Angelo Cei
Taught: Semester 2 View Timetable
Year running 2010/11
Pre-requisite qualificationsHPSC1200 How Science Works, OR PHIL1001 Introduction to Philosophy, OR PHIL1004 Introduction to History of Philosophy, OR PHIL1008 Introduction to Logic.
This module is mutually exclusive with
|HPSC2403||Intro Phil Inductive Reasoning|
Module replacesHPSC2212 Induction, Evidence and Scientific Method
This module is approved as an Elective
Module summaryIn order to be eligible to enrol this module, students must have taken and passed ONE OR MORE of the following:HPSC1200 How Science WorksPHIL1001 Introduction to PhilosophyPHIL1004 Introduction to the History of PhilosophyPHIL1008 Introduction to LogicThis module concerns the relationship between a theory and its evidence. It covers various issues in the following central topics in the epistemology of science: observation and its relation to theory; old and new problems of induction; the nature of probability and statistical reasoning; scientific method.Theories and generalizations of empirical science are based on observations. This platitude gives rise to a wide range of philosophical questions such as: What exactly is an observation, and how does it relate to a theory? How does a set of observations confim one hypothesis over another? What exactly is problematic about inductive reasoning in science? What is the nature of probabilistic and statistical reasoning from evidence? How is probability to be understood? Is there a universal "method of science" to compare theories with evidence? What role does causal and explanatory reasoning play in assessing evidence?These are some of the questions and issues we shall tackle in this module.
ObjectivesOn completion of this module, students should be able to critically discuss a variety of issues concerning the relationship between a scientific theory and its evidence.
The main topics should include:
1) observation and its relation to theory;
2) old and new problems of induction
3) the nature of probability and statistical reasoning:
4) scientific method.
On successful completion of this module a student will have knowledge of a range of philosophical issues concerning the relationship between theories and observations, induction, probability and statistical reasoning, the nature of scientific method and confirmation.
The module will cover issues such as the following:
a) The nature of observation and observability; Theory-ladenness of observation; Data vs. Phenomena; Syntactic vs. semantic view of theories
b) Hume's problem of induction and various responses to it; Goodman's new problem of induction and various responses to it
c) Interpreting probabilities; Classical statistical inference; Fallacies in probabilistic and statistical reasoning; Bayesianism; Probability and induction
d) Causal reasoning and Mill's methods; Hypothetico-deductive view and it's problems; Ravens, Duhem-Quine problem etc.; Inference to the best explanation;
|Delivery type||Number||Length hours||Student hours|
|Private study hours||180.00|
|Total Contact hours||20.00|
|Total hours (100hr per 10 credits)||200.00|
Private studyPrivate study comprises:
6 hours reading per lecture: 96 hours;
6 hours reading and preparing for tutorials: 24 hours;
Writing entries to an assessed group Wiki: 30 hours;
Exam revision: 30 hours.
Opportunities for Formative FeedbackStudent progress is monitored via selected Wiki entries: students write 550-650 word entries on each of four sections of the module.
Methods of assessment
|Assessment type||Notes||% of formal assessment|
|Computer Exercise||VLE Wiki 1,600-2,000 words||50.00|
|Total percentage (Assessment Coursework)||50.00|
Resit by 100% exam (3 hours).
|Exam type||Exam duration||% of formal assessment|
|Standard exam (closed essays, MCQs etc)||2 hr||50.00|
|Total percentage (Assessment Exams)||50.00|
Resit by 100% exam (3 hours).
Reading listThere is no reading list for this module
Last updated: 16/09/2011
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